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• Groningen x AZ Alkmaar

Groningen - AZ Alkmaar 22.03.2026

• 22/03/26 11:45 |
  Round 28
• Groningen

  Peersman M. - 36'

  Van Bergen T. - 58'

  Land T. - 76'
  • 3 : 0
  • Finished
  AZ Alkmaar

Summary Lineups Player Statistics

GRO

Match details

AZA

1st Half 1:0

36 Peersman M.

2nd Half 2:0

46 Dijkstra E. Out: Penetra A.

46 Van Duijl B. Out: Kasius D.

57 Andersen Willumsson B. Out: De Jonge T.

58 Van Bergen T. Assist: Van der Werff D.

66 Meerdink M. Out: Goes W.

67 Sadiq I. Out: Jensen I.

76 Land T. Assist: Rente M.

77 Prins W. Out: Peersman M.

79 Daal R.

82 Ichihara R. Out: Koopmeiners P.

88 Mercera T. Out: Taha El Idrissi Y.

88 Mendes R. Out: Land T.

90 + 1 Mercera T.

GRO

Statistics

AZA

2.53

Expected goals (xG) Expected goals xG - measures the quality of a scoring chance and the probability of it becoming a goal. It's calculated from factors like shot location, angle, distance, assist type, and defensive pressure. Each shot gets a value from 0 to 1; a team's total xG is the sum of all its shots. A penalty is usually worth ~0.79–0.80. Higher xG = better chances, regardless of whether goals were actually scored.

1.5

47 %

Ball possession

53 %

3

Big chances Big chances - counts clear scoring opportunities where a goal is highly expected. These are situations like one-on-one with the goalkeeper, close-range shots with little defensive pressure, or shots into an open goal.

4

• 1.2 1.2 1.2
• Goals scored per match
• 2.6 1.8 2.2

• 1.6 1.9 1.5
• Goals conceded per match
• 0.9 1.4 0.9

• 32.1' 29' 33.3'
• Minutes/Goal scored
• 26.6' 28.1' 29'

Full Stats

GRO

H2H Stats

AZA

All tournaments Eredivisie KNVB beker 5 matches 10 matches 15 matches All matches 5 matches 10 matches 15 matches All matches 5 matches

• 20% 1wins
• 20% 1draws
• 60% 3wins

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Top Scorers

Groningen

Netherlands Eredivisie

#

Goals

• 26 Van Bergen T.
  9
• 9 Andersen Willumsson B.
  6
• 19 Taha El Idrissi Y.
  5
• 6 Resink S.
  5
• 5 Rente M.
  3

AZ Alkmaar

Netherlands Eredivisie

#

Goals

• 9 Parrott T.
  16
• 10 Mijnans S.
  11
• 9 Meerdink M.
  5
• 26 Smit K.
  3
• 34 De Wit M.
  3

Show full top scorers

Match facts

The most common result of matches between FC Groningen and AZ Alkmaar is 1-1. 7 matches have ended with this result.

During the last 27 meetings with FC Groningen playing at home, FC Groningen have won 10 times, there have been 7 draws while AZ Alkmaar have won 10 times. The goal difference is 33-31 in favour of AZ Alkmaar.

During the last 58 meetings, FC Groningen have won 14 times, there have been 15 draws while AZ Alkmaar have won 29 times. The goal difference is 89-58 in favour of AZ Alkmaar.

Last season's matches: 0-0 (FC Groningen at home) and 3-0 (AZ Alkmaar at home).

Did you know that FC Groningen scores 27% of their goals between the minutes 76-90?

Did you know that AZ Alkmaar scores 23% of their goals between the minutes 31-45?

FC Groningen haven't won any of their last 3 games against AZ Alkmaar.

FC Groningen haven't scored in 3 of their 13 home matches in Eredivisie this season.

AZ Alkmaar haven't scored in 2 of their 14 away matches in Eredivisie this season.

Thom Van Bergen is FC Groningen's top scorer with 7 goals. Troy Daniel Parrott has scored 14 times for AZ Alkmaar.

Younes Taha El Idrissi has more yellow cards (6) than any other player at FC Groningen. Wouter Goes has collected 9 for AZ Alkmaar.

FC Groningen have conceded a goal in each of their last 8 matches.

FC Groningen have scored at least one goal for 6 consecutive matches.

FC Groningen wins 1st half in 24% of their matches, AZ Alkmaar in 36% of their matches.

FC Groningen wins 24% of halftimes, AZ Alkmaar wins 36%.

The winner of their last meeting was AZ Alkmaar.

On their last meeting AZ Alkmaar won by 3 goals.

When FC Groningen leads 1-0 at home, they win in 70% of their matches.

When AZ Alkmaar leads 0-1 away, they win in 84% of their matches.

When FC Groningen is down 0-1 home, they win 12% of their matches.

When AZ Alkmaar is down 1-0 away, they win 20% of their matches.

In Eredivisie, AZ Alkmaar has better performance than FC Groningen.

AZ Alkmaar's performance of the last 5 matches is better than FC Groningen's.

AZ Alkmaar have lost just 0 of their last 5 games against FC Groningen (in all competitions).

In the last 5 meetings FC Groningen won 0, AZ Alkmaar won 4, 1 draws.

AZ Alkmaar have lost just 0 of their last 5 Eredivisie games against FC Groningen.

FC Groningen have won just 0 of their last 5 Eredivisie games against AZ Alkmaar.

FC Groningen scores 0.4 goals in a match against AZ Alkmaar and AZ Alkmaar scores 2.2 goals against FC Groningen (on average).

Average number of goals in meetings between FC Groningen and AZ Alkmaar is 2.6.

Average number of goals in the first half in meetings between FC Groningen and AZ Alkmaar is 1.8.

FC Groningen scores 1.84 goals when playing at home and AZ Alkmaar scores 1.57 goals when playing away (on average).

More facts

Predictions

As part of the Eredivisie (Netherlands) tournament, the match between teams Groningen and AZ Alkmaar is scheduled. The game will start on 22.03 at 11:45. All sports bettors can follow in-depth Groningen AZ Alkmaar betting tips using the subsequent analysis of teams' statistics and prediction for the match.

3 / 10 of last matches Groningen in all competitions, at least one team did not score

3 / 10 of last matches Groningen in Eredivisie, at least one team has not scored

6 / 10 of the last matches between the teams, at least one of the teams did not score

5 / 10 of last matches AZ Alkmaar in all competitions, at least one team did not score

3 / 10 of last matches AZ Alkmaar in Eredivisie, at least one team has not scored

8 / 10 of last matches in all competitions Groningen did not draw

More predictions

GRO

Standings

AZA

Netherlands Eredivisie

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	G	GD	P
6	Utrecht	34	15	8	11	55:42	13	53
7	AZ Alkmaar	34	14	10	10	58:51	7	52
8	Heerenveen	34	14	9	11	57:53	4	51
9	Groningen	34	14	6	14	49:45	4	48
10	Sparta Rotterdam	34	12	7	15	40:62	-22	43

Full Standings

GRO

Line Up

AZA

4-4-2 4-2-3-1

Line Up

Starting

8.7 21 Jurjus

8.9 5 Rente 7.5 3 Blokzijl 7.3 4 Janse 6.8 43 Peersman

7.7 17 Van der Werff 8.6 18 Land 7.3 14 Schreuders 6.7 8 De Jonge

5.7 10 Taha El Idrissi 7.6 26 Van Bergen

5.1 41 Zoet

6.2 30 Kasius 6.5 3 Goes 5.9 5 Penetra 6.8 34 De Wit

6.6 6 Koopmeiners 7.1 26 Smit

6.5 17 Jensen 6.4 10 Mijnans 7.7 27 Daal

6.4 9 Parrott

GRO

Starting

AZA

Jurjus H. Goalkeeper Blokzijl T. Defender Janse D. Defender Rente M. Defender Peersman M. 77' Prins W. De Jonge T. 57' Andersen Willumsson B. Taha El Idrissi Y. 88' Mercera T. Schreuders J. Midfielder Van der Werff D. Midfielder Land T. 88' Mendes R. Van Bergen T. Forward

Zoet J. Goalkeeper Goes W. 66' Meerdink M. Penetra A. 46' Dijkstra E. Daal R. Defender Kasius D. 46' Van Duijl B. De Wit M. Defender Koopmeiners P. 82' Ichihara R. Mijnans S. Midfielder Jensen I. 67' Sadiq I. Smit K. Midfielder Parrott T. Forward

GRO

Substitutes

AZA

Stubljar L. Goalkeeper Baron D. Goalkeeper Prins W. 77' Out: Peersman M. Van der Laan E. Defender Mercera T. 88' Out: Taha El Idrissi Y. Bouland S. Defender Kelder R. Defender Andersen Willumsson B. 57' Out: De Jonge T. Seuntjens M. Midfielder Dillema J. Midfielder Mendes R. 88' Out: Land T. Metu R. Forward

Verhulst H. Goalkeeper Deen D. Goalkeeper Ichihara R. 82' Out: Koopmeiners P. Dijkstra E. 46' Out: Penetra A. Van Duijl B. 46' Out: Kasius D. Sin M. Midfielder Boogaard K. Midfielder Patati W. Forward Sadiq I. 67' Out: Jensen I. Oufkir A. Forward Meerdink M. 66' Out: Goes W. Kovacs B. Forward

GRO

Head coach

AZA

Lukkien D. Coaches

Echteld L. Coaches

Player Statistics

Overall Groningen AZ Alkmaar

Overview

Shots

Attack

Defending

Goalkeeping

Overview

Player	Grade	Minutes played	Goals	xG	Assists	xA	Total shots	Passes	Yellow cards	Red cards
Rente M. Defender	8.9	90	-	0.22	1	0.31	1	24/33(73%)	-	-
Jurjus H. Goalkeeper	8.7	90	-	-	-	0.01	-	22/45(49%)	-	-
Land T. Midfielder	8.6	88	1	0.22	-	0.11	1	52/55(95%)	-	-
Van Duijl B. Defender	8.2	45	-	-	-	0.01	-	20/23(87%)	-	-
Daal R. Defender	7.7	90	-	0.04	-	0.69	1	18/23(78%)	1	-
Van der Werff D. Midfielder	7.7	90	-	0.1	1	0.2	1	23/30(77%)	-	-
Van Bergen T. Forward	7.6	90	1	0.65	-	0.09	4	13/17(76%)	-	-
Blokzijl T. Defender	7.5	90	-	-	-	0.05	-	35/39(90%)	-	-
Janse D. Defender	7.3	90	-	-	-	0.01	-	42/49(86%)	-	-
Schreuders J. Midfielder	7.3	90	-	-	-	0.02	-	34/38(89%)	-	-
Smit K. Midfielder	7.1	90	-	0.08	-	0.38	3	51/55(93%)	-	-
Sadiq I. Forward	6.9	23	-	0.14	-	0.19	1	10/10(100%)	-	-
De Wit M. Defender	6.8	90	-	-	-	0.04	-	36/46(78%)	-	-
Peersman M. Defender	6.8	77	1	0.79	-	0.1	1	42/48(88%)	-	-
De Jonge T. Midfielder	6.7	57	-	0.16	-	0.02	1	15/19(79%)	-	-
Koopmeiners P. Midfielder	6.6	82	-	0.09	-	0.03	1	28/34(82%)	-	-
Goes W. Defender	6.5	66	-	-	-	0.01	-	41/43(95%)	-	-
Jensen I. Midfielder	6.5	67	-	0.54	-	0.1	2	20/27(74%)	-	-
Mijnans S. Midfielder	6.4	90	-	0.02	-	0.16	1	30/33(91%)	-	-
Parrott T. Forward	6.4	90	-	0.34	-	0.09	3	18/22(82%)	-	-
Prins W. Defender	6.4	13	-	-	-	-	-	2/3(67%)	-	-
Kasius D. Defender	6.2	45	-	0.02	-	0.02	1	18/24(75%)	-	-
Andersen Willumsson B. Midfielder	6.2	33	-	0.04	-	0.04	1	8/10(80%)	-	-
Dijkstra E. Defender	6	45	-	-	-	0.02	-	21/23(91%)	-	-
Meerdink M. Forward	5.9	24	-	0.17	-	0.04	2	9/12(75%)	-	-
Penetra A. Defender	5.9	45	-	-	-	-	-	27/33(82%)	-	-
Taha El Idrissi Y. Midfielder	5.7	88	-	0.36	-	-	4	8/12(67%)	-	-
Zoet J. Goalkeeper	5.1	90	-	-	-	-	-	26/38(68%)	-	-
Ichihara R. Defender	-	8	-	0.06	-	-	1	5/8(63%)	-	-
Mendes R. Forward	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	1/1(50%)	-	-
Mercera T. Defender	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	1/1(100%)	1	-

xG - measures the quality of a scoring chance and the probability of it becoming a goal. It’s calculated from factors like shot location, angle, distance, assist type, and defensive pressure. Each shot gets a value from 0 to 1; a team’s total xG is the sum of all its shots. A penalty is usually worth ~0.79–0.80. Higher xG = better chances, regardless of whether goals were actually scored.

xA - measures the likelihood that a completed pass will become an assist for a goal. It evaluates the quality of the pass based on factors like its placement, trajectory, speed, the receiver’s position, defensive pressure, and the overall attacking context. Each key pass receives a value between 0 and 1; a player’s or team’s total xA is the sum of these values. Higher xA indicates better chance creation, even if the subsequent shot is missed or saved.

Shots

Player	Total shots	Shots on target	xGOT	Shots off target	Blocked shots	Shots header	Shots inside the Box	Shots outside the Box
Taha El Idrissi Y. Midfielder	4	2	0.01	1	1	1	2	2
Van Bergen T. Forward	4	1	0.46	1	2	1	3	1
Parrott T. Forward	3	1	0.16	1	1	1	2	1
Smit K. Midfielder	3	1	0.02	1	1	-	-	3
Jensen I. Midfielder	2	1	0.73	-	1	-	2	-
Meerdink M. Forward	2	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
Andersen Willumsson B. Midfielder	1	-	-	1	-	1	1	-
Daal R. Defender	1	1	0.03	-	-	-	1	-
De Jonge T. Midfielder	1	-	-	1	-	1	1	-
Ichihara R. Defender	1	1	0.15	-	-	1	1	-
Kasius D. Defender	1	1	0.02	-	-	-	-	1
Koopmeiners P. Midfielder	1	1	0.29	-	1	-	1	-
Land T. Midfielder	1	1	0.23	-	-	-	-	1
Mijnans S. Midfielder	1	1	0.09	-	-	-	-	1
Peersman M. Defender	1	1	0.9	-	-	-	1	-
Rente M. Defender	1	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
Sadiq I. Forward	1	-	-	1	-	1	1	-
Van der Werff D. Midfielder	1	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
Blokzijl T. Defender	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
De Wit M. Defender	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Dijkstra E. Defender	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Goes W. Defender	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Janse D. Defender	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Jurjus H. Goalkeeper	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Mendes R. Forward	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Mercera T. Defender	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Penetra A. Defender	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Prins W. Defender	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Schreuders J. Midfielder	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Zoet J. Goalkeeper	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Van Duijl B. Defender	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

xGOT - measures the likelihood that a shot on target results in a goal. Unlike xG (which evaluates the chance before the shot), xGOT assesses execution — shot placement, goalkeeper position, etc. — after the ball is struck. Only shots on target are included, each valued 0–1. A team’s total xGOT is the sum of all its on-target shots.

Attack

Player	Touches in the opposition Box	Passes	Big chances created	Big chances missed	Assists	xA	Passes in final third	Touches	Passes long	Crosses	Successful dribbles	Fouled	Offsides
Parrott T. Forward	7	18/22(82%)	-	1	-	0.09	7/8(88%)	36	1/1(100%)	-	-	2	-
Van der Werff D. Midfielder	7	23/30(77%)	1	-	1	0.2	13/17(76%)	47	1/1(100%)	2/3(67%)	1/5(20%)	-	-
Jensen I. Midfielder	6	20/27(74%)	-	2	-	0.1	9/12(75%)	43	-	-	2/3(67%)	-	1
Daal R. Defender	5	18/23(78%)	1	-	-	0.69	8/11(73%)	42	1/1(100%)	1/3(33%)	2/3(67%)	3	-
Meerdink M. Forward	4	9/12(75%)	-	1	-	0.04	4/7(57%)	18	1/1(100%)	-	-	-	1
Andersen Willumsson B. Midfielder	3	8/10(80%)	-	-	-	0.04	3/4(75%)	14	1/1(100%)	-	-	-	-
Kasius D. Defender	3	18/24(75%)	-	-	-	0.02	2/4(50%)	40	2/6(33%)	-	1/2(50%)	-	-
Koopmeiners P. Midfielder	3	28/34(82%)	-	-	-	0.03	6/8(75%)	48	3/4(75%)	-	1/2(50%)	-	-
Rente M. Defender	3	24/33(73%)	1	-	1	0.31	5/11(45%)	52	-	2/3(67%)	-	-	-
Sadiq I. Forward	3	10/10(100%)	-	-	-	0.19	6/6(100%)	18	-	-	-	2	-
Schreuders J. Midfielder	3	34/38(89%)	-	-	-	0.02	11/12(92%)	59	2/2(100%)	-	1/2(50%)	3	-
Taha El Idrissi Y. Midfielder	3	8/12(67%)	-	1	-	-	1/4(25%)	37	-	-	-	-	-
Van Bergen T. Forward	3	13/17(76%)	-	-	-	0.09	8/11(73%)	31	-	-	2/3(67%)	1	1
De Jonge T. Midfielder	2	15/19(79%)	-	-	-	0.02	6/9(67%)	28	2/3(67%)	-	-	-	-
De Wit M. Defender	2	36/46(78%)	-	-	-	0.04	10/11(91%)	68	3/8(38%)	-	-	2	-
Mijnans S. Midfielder	2	30/33(91%)	1	-	-	0.16	6/7(86%)	47	-	2/2(100%)	1/2(50%)	1	-
Dijkstra E. Defender	1	21/23(91%)	-	-	-	0.02	6/8(75%)	31	1/1(100%)	-	-	-	-
Goes W. Defender	1	41/43(95%)	-	-	-	0.01	2/3(67%)	54	1/2(50%)	-	-	-	-
Ichihara R. Defender	1	5/8(63%)	-	-	-	-	-	13	1/1(100%)	-	-	1	-
Land T. Midfielder	1	52/55(95%)	-	-	-	0.11	22/24(92%)	67	2/3(67%)	-	-	-	-
Mendes R. Forward	1	1/1(50%)	-	-	-	-	1/1(50%)	2	-	-	-	-	-
Peersman M. Defender	1	42/48(88%)	-	-	-	0.1	12/16(75%)	66	-	1/1(100%)	-	1	-
Smit K. Midfielder	1	51/55(93%)	-	-	-	0.38	14/16(88%)	77	5/5(100%)	1/2(50%)	1/2(50%)	5	-
Van Duijl B. Defender	1	20/23(87%)	-	-	-	0.01	3/4(75%)	38	6/8(75%)	-	4/4(100%)	1	-
Blokzijl T. Defender	-	35/39(90%)	-	-	-	0.05	11/12(92%)	54	1/1(100%)	-	-	-	-
Janse D. Defender	-	42/49(86%)	-	-	-	0.01	3/7(43%)	68	-	-	-	3	-
Jurjus H. Goalkeeper	-	22/45(49%)	-	-	-	0.01	4/11(36%)	58	12/32(38%)	-	-	-	-
Mercera T. Defender	-	1/1(100%)	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-
Penetra A. Defender	-	27/33(82%)	-	-	-	-	1/4(25%)	40	2/6(33%)	-	-	-	-
Prins W. Defender	-	2/3(67%)	-	-	-	-	-	8	-	-	-	-	-
Zoet J. Goalkeeper	-	26/38(68%)	-	-	-	-	-	41	3/15(20%)	-	-	-	-

xA - measures the likelihood that a completed pass will become an assist for a goal. It evaluates the quality of the pass based on factors like its placement, trajectory, speed, the receiver’s position, defensive pressure, and the overall attacking context. Each key pass receives a value between 0 and 1; a player’s or team’s total xA is the sum of these values. Higher xA indicates better chance creation, even if the subsequent shot is missed or saved.

Defending

Player	Duels	Aerial duels	Ground duels	Foules	Tackles	Interceptions	Clearances	Error leading to goal	Error leading to shot	Own goals
Taha El Idrissi Y. Midfielder	17	-	2/14(14%)	2	1/2(50%)	1	-	-	-	-
Van Bergen T. Forward	15	-	4/12(33%)	-	2/2(100%)	-	-	-	-	-
Smit K. Midfielder	13	-	10/13(77%)	-	3/4(75%)	-	-	-	-	-
Parrott T. Forward	12	1/5(20%)	2/7(29%)	1	-	-	-	-	-	-
Daal R. Defender	11	-	7/9(78%)	-	2/2(100%)	2	1	-	-	-
Van Duijl B. Defender	11	2/4(50%)	7/7(88%)	-	1/3(33%)	-	2	-	-	-
Andersen Willumsson B. Midfielder	10	1/5(20%)	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-
De Wit M. Defender	10	1/3(33%)	6/7(86%)	-	2/4(50%)	-	3	1	-	-
Janse D. Defender	10	3/4(75%)	4/6(67%)	2	-	2	8	-	-	-
Koopmeiners P. Midfielder	10	2/4(50%)	2/6(33%)	1	-	1	2	-	-	-
Schreuders J. Midfielder	10	-	4/10(40%)	1	-	-	3	-	-	-
Rente M. Defender	9	5/5(100%)	3/4(75%)	1	2/3(67%)	2	2	-	-	-
Van der Werff D. Midfielder	8	-	2/7(29%)	1	1/1(100%)	2	-	-	-	-
Goes W. Defender	7	2/2(100%)	2/5(40%)	3	1/2(50%)	3	2	-	-	-
Peersman M. Defender	7	-	1/6(17%)	2	-	1	2	-	1	-
Sadiq I. Forward	7	1/2(50%)	3/5(60%)	-	1/1(100%)	-	-	-	-	-
Mijnans S. Midfielder	6	-	4/6(67%)	-	1/2(50%)	1	-	-	-	-
Blokzijl T. Defender	5	3/3(100%)	2/2(100%)	-	1/2(50%)	1	7	-	-	-
Prins W. Defender	5	1/1(100%)	3/4(75%)	1	2/3(67%)	-	2	-	-	-
De Jonge T. Midfielder	4	-	3/4(75%)	1	1/3(33%)	-	2	-	-	-
Jensen I. Midfielder	4	1/1(100%)	2/3(67%)	-	-	1	-	-	-	-
Kasius D. Defender	4	-	2/4(50%)	1	1/1(100%)	-	1	-	-	-
Land T. Midfielder	4	-	1/4(25%)	1	-	1	1	-	-	-
Penetra A. Defender	4	-	2/4(50%)	2	1/2(50%)	-	2	-	-	-
Dijkstra E. Defender	3	1/1(100%)	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
Ichihara R. Defender	3	2/2(100%)	1/1(100%)	-	-	1	-	-	-	-
Meerdink M. Forward	1	-	1/1(100%)	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Mercera T. Defender	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-
Jurjus H. Goalkeeper	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
Mendes R. Forward	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Zoet J. Goalkeeper	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Goalkeeping

Player	Goals prevented	Goalkeeper saves	xGOT faced	Goals Conceded	Punches	Throws	Sweeper keeper actions
Jurjus H. Goalkeeper	1.2	7	1.2	-	1	2	-
Zoet J. Goalkeeper	-1.41	1	1.59	3	-	2	1

Goals prevented - measures how many goals a goalkeeper saved compared to expectation. It is calculated as the difference between xGOT Faced (the total post-shot expected goals of all on-target shots faced) and the actual number of goals conceded (excluding own goals). A higher positive value indicates the goalkeeper performed above average, preventing more goals than expected from the quality of shots faced. A negative value means more goals were conceded than the shots "deserved.

xGOT faced - total number of goals a goalkeeper would be expected to concede based on the volume and quality of on-target shots faced. Each shot’s quality is assessed using post-shot factors: placement, goalkeeper positioning, shot speed, etc. xGOT Faced for a team equals the opposing team’s total xGOT from shots on target. It serves as the benchmark for calculating Goals Prevented.