HB Koge - Esbjerg fB 06.03.2026
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06/03/26
12:30
|
Round 20
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- 0 : 1
- Finished
1.49
Expected goals (xG)
Expected goals xG - measures the quality of a scoring chance and the probability of it becoming a goal. It's calculated from factors like shot location, angle, distance, assist type, and defensive pressure. Each shot gets a value from 0 to 1; a team's total xG is the sum of all its shots. A penalty is usually worth ~0.79–0.80. Higher xG = better chances, regardless of whether goals were actually scored.
Expected goals xG - measures the quality of a scoring chance and the probability of it becoming a goal. It's calculated from factors like shot location, angle, distance, assist type, and defensive pressure. Each shot gets a value from 0 to 1; a team's total xG is the sum of all its shots. A penalty is usually worth ~0.79–0.80. Higher xG = better chances, regardless of whether goals were actually scored.
2.08
58
%
Ball possession
42
%
0
Big chances
Big chances - counts clear scoring opportunities where a goal is highly expected. These are situations like one-on-one with the goalkeeper, close-range shots with little defensive pressure, or shots into an open goal.
Big chances - counts clear scoring opportunities where a goal is highly expected. These are situations like one-on-one with the goalkeeper, close-range shots with little defensive pressure, or shots into an open goal.
1
- 1.2
- Goals scored per match
- 1.6
- 2
- Goals conceded per match
- 1.5
- 28.1'
- Minutes/Goal scored
- 30'
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Match facts
During the last 7 meetings with HB Koege playing at home, HB Koege have won 3 times, there have been 0 draws while Esbjerg FB have won 4 times. The goal difference is 10-9 in favour of HB Koege.
During the last 18 meetings, HB Koege have won 3 times, there have been 4 draws while Esbjerg FB have won 11 times. The goal difference is 27-18 in favour of Esbjerg FB.
Last season Esbjerg FB won both games against HB Koege (4-1 at home and 2-0 away).
Did you know that HB Koege scores 30% of their goals between the minutes 76-90?
Predictions
As part of the 1. Division (Denmark) tournament, the match between teams HB Koge and Esbjerg fB is scheduled. The game will start on 06.03 at 12:30. All sports bettors can follow in-depth HB Koge Esbjerg fB betting tips using the subsequent analysis of teams' statistics and prediction for the match.
2 / 10 of last matches HB Koge in all competitions, at least one team did not score
2 / 10 of last matches HB Koge in 1. Division, at least one team has not scored
6 / 10 of the last matches between the teams, at least one of the teams did not score
4 / 10 of last matches Esbjerg fB in all competitions, at least one team did not score
3 / 10 of last matches Esbjerg fB in 1. Division, at least one team has not scored
7 / 10 of last matches in all competitions HB Koge did not draw
| # | Group 1. Division | GP | W | D | L | G | GD | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 33:29 | 4 | 37 | |
| 4 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 32:29 | 3 | 37 | |
| 5 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29:23 | 6 | 33 | |
| 10 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 22:31 | -9 | 25 | |
| 11 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 20 | |
| 12 | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 12 |
| # | Group Promotion Round | GP | W | D | L | G | GD | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 69:36 | 33 | 60 | |
| 2 | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 42:27 | 15 | 54 | |
| 3 | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 45:43 | 2 | 52 | |
| 4 | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 42:43 | -1 | 50 | |
| 5 | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 43:39 | 4 | 46 |
Player Statistics
Overview
Shots
Attack
Defending
Goalkeeping
Overview
| Player | Grade | Minutes played | Goals | xG | Assists | xA | Total shots | Passes | Yellow cards | Red cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Skipper A.
Defender
|
8.1 | 90 | - | 0.31 | - | - | 2 | 26/31(84%) | - | - |
|
Strandby N.
Forward
|
7.7 | 16 | 1 | 0.09 | - | - | 2 | 2/2(100%) | - | - |
|
Maden M.
Midfielder
|
7.6 | 90 | - | - | - | 0.09 | - | 16/19(84%) | - | - |
|
McCrorie R.
Goalkeeper
|
7.3 | 90 | - | - | - | - | - | 21/31(68%) | - | - |
|
Bjur P.
Midfielder
|
7 | 90 | - | 0.33 | - | 0.05 | 5 | 13/23(57%) | 1 | - |
|
Kolawole J.
Forward
|
6.9 | 27 | - | - | - | 0.01 | - | 8/13(62%) | - | - |
Thomsen T.
Forward
|
6.8 | 90 | - | 0.36 | - | 0.09 | 3 | 16/23(70%) | - | - |
|
Brajanac M.
Forward
|
6.4 | 90 | - | 0.04 | - | - | 1 | 9/15(60%) | 1 | - |
xG - measures the quality of a scoring chance and the probability of it becoming a goal. It’s calculated from factors like shot location, angle, distance, assist type, and defensive pressure. Each shot gets a value from 0 to 1; a team’s total xG is the sum of all its shots. A penalty is usually worth ~0.79–0.80. Higher xG = better chances, regardless of whether goals were actually scored.
xA - measures the likelihood that a completed pass will become an assist for a goal. It evaluates the quality of the pass based on factors like its placement, trajectory, speed, the receiver’s position, defensive pressure, and the overall attacking context. Each key pass receives a value between 0 and 1; a player’s or team’s total xA is the sum of these values. Higher xA indicates better chance creation, even if the subsequent shot is missed or saved.
Shots
| Player | Total shots | Shots on target | xGOT | Shots off target | Blocked shots | Shots header | Shots inside the Box | Shots outside the Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Bjur P.
Midfielder
|
5 | 2 | 0.21 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 1 |
|
Thomsen T.
Forward
|
3 | - | - | 3 | - | 1 | 3 | - |
|
Skipper A.
Defender
|
2 | 1 | 0.17 | - | 1 | - | 2 | - |
|
Strandby N.
Forward
|
2 | 1 | 0.17 | 1 | - | - | - | 2 |
|
Brajanac M.
Forward
|
1 | 1 | 0.02 | - | - | - | 1 | - |
|
Kolawole J.
Forward
|
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
|
Maden M.
Midfielder
|
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
|
McCrorie R.
Goalkeeper
|
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
xGOT - measures the likelihood that a shot on target results in a goal. Unlike xG (which evaluates the chance before the shot), xGOT assesses execution — shot placement, goalkeeper position, etc. — after the ball is struck. Only shots on target are included, each valued 0–1. A team’s total xGOT is the sum of all its on-target shots.
Attack
| Player | Touches in the opposition Box | Passes | Big chances created | Big chances missed | Assists | xA | Passes in final third | Touches | Passes long | Crosses | Successful dribbles | Fouled | Offsides |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Bjur P.
Midfielder
|
7 | 13/23(57%) | - | - | - | 0.05 | 6/10(60%) | 45 | - | - | - | 1 | - |
|
Thomsen T.
Forward
|
7 | 16/23(70%) | - | - | - | 0.09 | 6/11(55%) | 42 | 1/1(100%) | - | 1/1(100%) | 1 | - |
|
Brajanac M.
Forward
|
2 | 9/15(60%) | - | - | - | - | 1/3(33%) | 25 | - | - | - | 1 | - |
|
Skipper A.
Defender
|
2 | 26/31(84%) | - | - | - | - | - | 52 | - | - | - | - | - |
|
Kolawole J.
Forward
|
1 | 8/13(62%) | - | - | - | 0.01 | 1/4(25%) | 20 | - | - | - | 1 | - |
|
Maden M.
Midfielder
|
1 | 16/19(84%) | - | - | - | 0.09 | 10/10(100%) | 32 | - | - | - | 1 | - |
|
McCrorie R.
Goalkeeper
|
- | 21/31(68%) | - | - | - | - | - | 36 | 13/23(57%) | - | - | 1 | - |
|
Strandby N.
Forward
|
- | 2/2(100%) | - | - | - | - | - | 13 | - | - | 1/3(33%) | 1 | - |
xA - measures the likelihood that a completed pass will become an assist for a goal. It evaluates the quality of the pass based on factors like its placement, trajectory, speed, the receiver’s position, defensive pressure, and the overall attacking context. Each key pass receives a value between 0 and 1; a player’s or team’s total xA is the sum of these values. Higher xA indicates better chance creation, even if the subsequent shot is missed or saved.
Defending
| Player | Duels | Aerial duels | Ground duels | Foules | Tackles | Interceptions | Clearances | Error leading to goal | Error leading to shot | Own goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Thomsen T.
Forward
|
21 | 6/16(38%) | 3/5(60%) | 1 | 1/1(100%) | 1 | - | - | - | - |
|
Skipper A.
Defender
|
12 | 8/10(80%) | 1/2(50%) | 1 | - | - | 12 | - | - | - |
|
Brajanac M.
Forward
|
9 | 3/3(100%) | 1/6(17%) | 3 | - | - | 5 | - | - | - |
|
Bjur P.
Midfielder
|
8 | 1/3(33%) | 2/5(40%) | - | 1/1(100%) | - | 1 | - | - | - |
|
Strandby N.
Forward
|
5 | - | 2/5(40%) | 1 | - | - | 1 | - | - | - |
|
Kolawole J.
Forward
|
4 | - | 3/3(100%) | - | 1/2(50%) | - | - | - | - | - |
|
Maden M.
Midfielder
|
4 | - | 2/4(50%) | 2 | 1/1(100%) | 2 | 3 | - | - | - |
|
McCrorie R.
Goalkeeper
|
1 | - | 1/1(100%) | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - |
Goalkeeping
| Player | Goals prevented | Goalkeeper saves | xGOT faced | Goals Conceded | Punches | Throws | Sweeper keeper actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
McCrorie R.
Goalkeeper
|
0.18 | 1 | 0.18 | - | 1 | 1 | - |
Goals prevented - measures how many goals a goalkeeper saved compared to expectation. It is calculated as the difference between xGOT Faced (the total post-shot expected goals of all on-target shots faced) and the actual number of goals conceded (excluding own goals). A higher positive value indicates the goalkeeper performed above average, preventing more goals than expected from the quality of shots faced. A negative value means more goals were conceded than the shots "deserved.
xGOT faced - total number of goals a goalkeeper would be expected to concede based on the volume and quality of on-target shots faced. Each shot’s quality is assessed using post-shot factors: placement, goalkeeper positioning, shot speed, etc. xGOT Faced for a team equals the opposing team’s total xGOT from shots on target. It serves as the benchmark for calculating Goals Prevented.
