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• NAC Breda x N.E.C.

NAC Breda - N.E.C. 17.01.2026

• 17/01/26 15:00 |
  Round 19
• NAC Breda

  Soumano M. - 38', 55'

  Kemper B. - 81'
  • 3 : 4
  • Finished
  N.E.C.

  Dasa E. - 10'

  Ouaissa S. - 17'

  Proper D. - 69'

  Sano K. - 90+4'

Summary Lineups Player Statistics

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Match details

NIJ

1st Half 1:2

8 Brym C.

10 Dasa E.

17 Ouaissa S. Assist: Ogawa K.

30 Proper D. Out: Nejasmic D.

38 Soumano M. Assist: Hillen R.

2nd Half 2:2

55 Soumano M. Assist: Brym C.

63 Fonville D. Out: Ogawa K.

63 Pereira B. Out: Ouaissa S.

63 Lucassen B. Out: Greiml L.

65 Balard M.

69 Proper D. Assist: Chery T.

71 Ayew A. Out: Van Hooijdonk S.

71 Talvitie J. Out: Soumano M.

81 Kemper B. Assist: Holtby L.

86 Vura Out: Onal B.

87 Proper D.

88 Leemans C. Out: Holtby L.

90 + 4 Sano K.

90 + 4 Lucassen B.

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Statistics

NIJ

0.93

Expected goals (xG) Expected goals xG - measures the quality of a scoring chance and the probability of it becoming a goal. It's calculated from factors like shot location, angle, distance, assist type, and defensive pressure. Each shot gets a value from 0 to 1; a team's total xG is the sum of all its shots. A penalty is usually worth ~0.79–0.80. Higher xG = better chances, regardless of whether goals were actually scored.

1.19

46 %

Ball possession

54 %

2

Big chances Big chances - counts clear scoring opportunities where a goal is highly expected. These are situations like one-on-one with the goalkeeper, close-range shots with little defensive pressure, or shots into an open goal.

2

• 1 0.7 0.7
• Goals scored per match
• 2.6 2.2 2.4

• 1.4 1.8 1.4
• Goals conceded per match
• 1.3 1.9 1.5

• 37.5' 36' 42.9'
• Minutes/Goal scored
• 23.1' 22' 23.1'

Full Stats

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H2H Stats

NIJ

All tournaments Eredivisie Eerste Divisie KNVB beker 5 matches 10 matches 15 matches All matches 5 matches 10 matches 15 matches All matches 5 matches 5 matches

• 20% 1wins
• 0draws
• 80% 4wins

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Top Scorers

NAC Breda

Netherlands Eredivisie

#

Goals

• 10 Nassoh M.
  5
• 20 Van Hooijdonk S.
  5
• 4 Kemper B.
  5
• 9 Soumano M.
  5
• 32 Talvitie J.
  3

N.E.C.

Netherlands Eredivisie

#

Goals

• 30 Linssen B.
  11
• 18 Chery T.
  10
• 18 Ogawa K.
  8
• 7 Shiogai K.
  7
• 11 Onal B.
  7

Show full top scorers

Match facts

The most common result of matches between NAC Breda and NEC Nijmegen when NAC Breda is playing at home is 1-1. 4 matches have ended with this result.

The most common result of matches between NAC Breda and NEC Nijmegen is 1-1. 10 matches have ended with this result.

During the last 25 meetings with NAC Breda playing at home, NAC Breda have won 9 times, there have been 7 draws while NEC Nijmegen have won 9 times. The goal difference is 32-30 in favour of NAC Breda.

During the last 51 meetings, NAC Breda have won 20 times, there have been 15 draws while NEC Nijmegen have won 16 times. The goal difference is 73-69 in favour of NAC Breda.

Last season's matches: 1-0 (NAC Breda at home) and 3-0 (NEC Nijmegen at home).

Did you know that NAC Breda scores 31% of their goals between the minutes 46-60? This is the highest percentage in the league.

Did you know that NEC Nijmegen scores 26% of their goals between the minutes 76-90?

NAC Breda haven't won in their last 7 games.

NEC Nijmegen haven't lost in their last 7 games.

NEC Nijmegen have lost none of their last 4 away matches.

NAC Breda have received 4 red cards this season. This is the highest number in Eredivisie.

NAC Breda haven't scored in 3 of their 9 home matches in Eredivisie this season.

NEC Nijmegen haven't scored in 1 of their 9 away matches in Eredivisie this season.

Sydney van Hooijdonk is NAC Breda's top scorer with 5 goals. Kento Shiogai has scored 7 times for NEC Nijmegen.

Rio Hillen has more yellow cards (6) than any other player at NAC Breda. Ahmetcan Kaplan has collected 6 for NEC Nijmegen.

NAC Breda have conceded a goal in each of their last 6 matches.

NEC Nijmegen have conceded a goal in each of their last 6 matches.

NEC Nijmegen have scored at least one goal for 7 consecutive matches.

NAC Breda wins 1st half in 18% of their matches, NEC Nijmegen in 22% of their matches.

NAC Breda wins 18% of halftimes, NEC Nijmegen wins 22%.

The winner of their last meeting was NEC Nijmegen.

On their last meeting NEC Nijmegen won by 3 goals.

When NAC Breda leads 1-0 at home, they win in 55% of their matches.

When NEC Nijmegen leads 0-1 away, they win in 75% of their matches.

When NAC Breda is down 0-1 home, they win 7% of their matches.

When NEC Nijmegen is down 1-0 away, they win 25% of their matches.

In Eredivisie, NEC Nijmegen has better performance than NAC Breda.

NEC Nijmegen's performance of the last 5 matches is better than NAC Breda's.

In the last 5 meetings NAC Breda won 2, NEC Nijmegen won 3, 0 draws.

NEC Nijmegen have lost just 1 of their last 5 Eredivisie games against NAC Breda.

NAC Breda have won just 1 of their last 5 Eredivisie games against NEC Nijmegen.

NAC Breda scores 0.8 goals in a match against NEC Nijmegen and NEC Nijmegen scores 1.6 goals against NAC Breda (on average).

Average number of goals in meetings between NAC Breda and NEC Nijmegen is 2.4.

Average number of goals in the first half in meetings between NAC Breda and NEC Nijmegen is 1.

Both teams haven't won their last match in Eredivisie.

NAC Breda scores 1.2 goals when playing at home and NEC Nijmegen scores 1.81 goals when playing away (on average).

A year ago, NAC Breda were number 11 in the table with 22 points. Now they are number 17 with 14 points.

NAC Breda has streak of 2 matches with 0 scored goals.

More facts

Predictions

As part of the Eredivisie (Netherlands) tournament, the match between teams NAC Breda and N.E.C. is scheduled. The game will start on 17.01 at 15:00. All sports bettors can follow in-depth NAC Breda N.E.C. betting tips using the subsequent analysis of teams' statistics and prediction for the match.

6 / 10 of her last matches NAC Breda in all competitions ended in defeat

5 / 10 of last matches NAC Breda in Eredivisie ended in defeat

6 / 10 of last matches N.E.C. in all tournaments ended with her victory

4 / 10 of last matches N.E.C. in Eredivisie ended with her victory

4 / 10 of last matches between the teams ended in victory N.E.C.

3 / 10 of last matches NAC Breda in all competitions ended in a draw

More predictions

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Standings

NIJ

Netherlands Eredivisie

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	G	GD	P
2	Feyenoord	34	19	8	7	70:44	26	65
3	N.E.C.	34	16	11	7	77:53	24	59
4	Twente	34	15	13	6	59:40	19	58
16	Volendam	34	8	8	18	35:55	-20	32
17	NAC Breda	34	6	11	17	35:58	-23	29
18	Heracles Almelo	34	5	4	25	35:85	-50	19

Full Standings

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Line Up

NIJ

3-4-1-2 3-4-1-2

Line Up

Starting

6.1 99 Bielica

7.9 12 Greiml 6.5 3 Odoi 7.2 22 Hillen

6.6 7 Brym 6.5 16 Balard 6.3 14 Sowah 7.6 4 Kemper

90 Holtby

6 17 Van Hooijdonk 8.6 9 Soumano

5.7 1 Cretazz

7.2 14 Dasa 5.9 3 Sandler 6.9 4 Kaplan

7.3 25 Ouaissa 7.7 23 Sano 7.1 6 Nejasmic 6.4 11 Onal

6.6 10 Chery

7 18 Ogawa 7.7 20 Lebreton

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Starting

NIJ

Bielica D. Goalkeeper Odoi D. Defender Kemper B. Defender Hillen R. Defender Greiml L. 63' Lucassen B. Holtby L. 88' Leemans C. Balard M. Midfielder Van Hooijdonk S. 71' Ayew A. Sowah K. Forward Soumano M. 71' Talvitie J. Brym C. Forward

Cretazz G. Goalkeeper Onal B. 86' Vura Lebreton N. Defender Kaplan A. Defender Dasa E. Defender Sano K. Midfielder Sandler P. Midfielder Ouaissa S. 63' Pereira B. Nejasmic D. 30' Proper D. Chery T. Midfielder Ogawa K. 63' Fonville D.

BRE

Substitutes

NIJ

Kortsmit R. Goalkeeper Lamprou K. Goalkeeper Lucassen B. 63' Out: Greiml L. Mahmutovic E. Defender Candelaria J. Defender Staring C. Midfielder Leemans C. 88' Out: Holtby L. Nassoh M. Midfielder Paula R. Midfielder Ayew A. 71' Out: Van Hooijdonk S. Talvitie J. 71' Out: Soumano M. Ghalidi B. Forward

Cillessen J. Goalkeeper Janse R. Goalkeeper Pereira B. 63' Out: Ouaissa S. Ouwejan T. Defender Willems J. Defender Fonville D. 63' Out: Ogawa K. De Laat S. Midfielder Proper D. 30' Out: Nejasmic D. Vura 86' Out: Onal B. Rober Forward -/- -/-

BRE

Head coach

NIJ

Hoefkens C. Coaches

Schreuder D. Coaches

Player Statistics

Overall NAC Breda N.E.C.

Overview

Shots

Attack

Defending

Goalkeeping

Overview

Player	Grade	Minutes played	Goals	xG	Assists	xA	Total shots	Passes	Yellow cards	Red cards
Soumano M. Forward	8	71	2	0.2	-	0.01	5	17/22(77%)	-	-
Dasa E. Defender	7.7	90	1	0.06	-	0.01	1	25/34(74%)	-	-
Lebreton N. Defender	7.7	90	-	0.12	1	0.03	2	18/22(82%)	-	-
Sano K. Midfielder	7.6	90	1	0.12	-	0.08	1	33/41(80%)	-	-
Greiml L. Defender	7.5	63	-	-	-	0.01	-	20/21(95%)	-	-
Kemper B. Defender	7.5	90	1	0.25	-	0.06	3	20/36(56%)	-	-
Ogawa K. Forward	7.5	63	-	0.05	1	0.02	1	6/8(75%)	-	-
Ouaissa S. Midfielder	7.3	63	1	0.03	-	0.03	1	12/16(75%)	-	-
Hillen R. Defender	7.2	90	-	0.08	1	0.01	2	35/38(92%)	-	-
Nejasmic D. Midfielder	7.2	30	-	0.02	-	0.01	1	12/12(100%)	-	-
Proper D. Midfielder	6.9	60	1	0.52	-	0.03	1	23/33(70%)	1	-
Fonville D. Defender	6.8	27	-	-	-	0.01	-	12/19(63%)	-	-
Brym C. Forward	6.7	90	-	-	1	0.01	-	17/23(74%)	1	-
Chery T. Midfielder	6.7	90	-	0.04	1	0.06	1	19/20(95%)	-	-
Onal B. Defender	6.7	86	-	0.24	-	0.17	2	18/27(67%)	-	-
Lucassen B. Defender	6.7	27	-	0.17	-	-	1	2/6(33%)	-	-
Kaplan A. Defender	6.5	90	-	-	-	0.03	-	58/66(88%)	-	-
Odoi D. Defender	6.5	90	-	-	-	0.01	-	20/26(77%)	-	-
Pereira B. Defender	6.4	27	-	-	-	-	-	4/5(80%)	-	-
Balard M. Midfielder	6.3	90	-	-	-	0.31	-	16/20(80%)	1	-
Holtby L. Midfielder	6.3	88	-	0.07	1	0.19	1	21/32(66%)	-	-
Sandler P. Midfielder	6.3	90	-	-	-	-	-	38/48(79%)	-	-
Talvitie J. Forward	6.3	19	-	-	-	-	-	2/3(67%)	-	-
Ayew A. Midfielder	6.2	19	-	-	-	-	-	2/2(100%)	-	-
Sowah K. Forward	6.1	90	-	-	-	0.06	-	25/32(78%)	-	-
Van Hooijdonk S. Forward	6	71	-	0.05	-	0.01	2	10/17(59%)	-	-
Cretazz G. Goalkeeper	5.9	90	-	-	-	-	-	26/48(54%)	-	-
Bielica D. Goalkeeper	5.7	90	-	-	-	0.01	-	14/30(47%)	-	-
Leemans C. Midfielder	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Vura Forward	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	2/2(100%)	-	-

xG - measures the quality of a scoring chance and the probability of it becoming a goal. It’s calculated from factors like shot location, angle, distance, assist type, and defensive pressure. Each shot gets a value from 0 to 1; a team’s total xG is the sum of all its shots. A penalty is usually worth ~0.79–0.80. Higher xG = better chances, regardless of whether goals were actually scored.

xA - measures the likelihood that a completed pass will become an assist for a goal. It evaluates the quality of the pass based on factors like its placement, trajectory, speed, the receiver’s position, defensive pressure, and the overall attacking context. Each key pass receives a value between 0 and 1; a player’s or team’s total xA is the sum of these values. Higher xA indicates better chance creation, even if the subsequent shot is missed or saved.

Shots

Player	Total shots	Shots on target	xGOT	Shots off target	Blocked shots	Shots header	Shots inside the Box	Shots outside the Box
Soumano M. Forward	5	2	0.28	1	2	2	2	3
Kemper B. Defender	3	1	0.37	2	-	-	3	-
Hillen R. Defender	2	1	0.2	1	-	2	2	-
Lebreton N. Defender	2	1	0.02	1	-	-	2	-
Onal B. Defender	2	-	-	-	2	-	2	-
Van Hooijdonk S. Forward	2	-	-	1	1	1	1	1
Chery T. Midfielder	1	1	0.07	-	-	-	-	1
Dasa E. Defender	1	1	0.34	-	-	-	1	-
Holtby L. Midfielder	1	1	0.11	-	-	-	1	-
Lucassen B. Defender	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	1
Nejasmic D. Midfielder	1	1	0.05	-	-	-	-	1
Ogawa K. Forward	1	1	0.16	-	-	1	1	-
Ouaissa S. Midfielder	1	1	0.42	-	-	-	1	-
Proper D. Midfielder	1	1	0.69	-	-	-	1	-
Sano K. Midfielder	1	1	0.17	-	-	-	1	-
Ayew A. Midfielder	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Balard M. Midfielder	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Bielica D. Goalkeeper	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Brym C. Forward	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cretazz G. Goalkeeper	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Fonville D. Defender	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Greiml L. Defender	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Kaplan A. Defender	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Leemans C. Midfielder	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Odoi D. Defender	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Pereira B. Defender	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Sandler P. Midfielder	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Sowah K. Forward	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Talvitie J. Forward	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Vura Forward	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

xGOT - measures the likelihood that a shot on target results in a goal. Unlike xG (which evaluates the chance before the shot), xGOT assesses execution — shot placement, goalkeeper position, etc. — after the ball is struck. Only shots on target are included, each valued 0–1. A team’s total xGOT is the sum of all its on-target shots.

Attack

Player	Touches in the opposition Box	Passes	Big chances created	Big chances missed	Assists	xA	Passes in final third	Touches	Passes long	Crosses	Successful dribbles	Fouled	Offsides
Onal B. Defender	8	18/27(67%)	-	-	-	0.17	10/14(71%)	43	1/3(33%)	1/4(25%)	1/3(33%)	1	-
Lebreton N. Defender	7	18/22(82%)	-	-	1	0.03	6/9(67%)	49	1/2(50%)	1/1(100%)	-	3	1
Kemper B. Defender	5	20/36(56%)	-	-	-	0.06	6/16(38%)	62	2/6(33%)	1/2(50%)	-	-	-
Hillen R. Defender	3	35/38(92%)	-	-	1	0.01	4/5(80%)	58	4/6(67%)	-	1/1(100%)	1	-
Holtby L. Midfielder	2	21/32(66%)	-	-	1	0.19	8/13(62%)	47	3/7(43%)	2/6(33%)	-	1	1
Lucassen B. Defender	2	2/6(33%)	-	-	-	-	-	23	1/2(50%)	-	1/1(100%)	1	-
Ogawa K. Forward	2	6/8(75%)	-	-	1	0.02	3/3(100%)	13	-	-	-	-	1
Sano K. Midfielder	2	33/41(80%)	-	-	-	0.08	6/11(55%)	64	1/4(25%)	-	3/5(60%)	3	-
Soumano M. Forward	2	17/22(77%)	-	-	-	0.01	2/2(100%)	35	1/1(100%)	-	-	2	1
Balard M. Midfielder	1	16/20(80%)	-	-	-	0.31	5/5(100%)	36	1/3(33%)	-	-	-	-
Brym C. Forward	1	17/23(74%)	-	-	1	0.01	2/5(40%)	50	1/1(100%)	-	7/10(70%)	3	1
Chery T. Midfielder	1	19/20(95%)	1	-	1	0.06	6/7(86%)	35	-	-	-	2	1
Dasa E. Defender	1	25/34(74%)	-	-	-	0.01	2/5(40%)	62	1/5(20%)	-	1/1(100%)	1	-
Kaplan A. Defender	1	58/66(88%)	-	-	-	0.03	8/11(73%)	92	3/6(50%)	-	-	1	-
Ouaissa S. Midfielder	1	12/16(75%)	-	-	-	0.03	1/3(33%)	30	1/2(50%)	-	1/2(50%)	-	-
Pereira B. Defender	1	4/5(80%)	-	-	-	-	1/2(50%)	10	-	-	-	-	-
Proper D. Midfielder	1	23/33(70%)	-	-	-	0.03	5/6(83%)	44	2/3(67%)	-	-	1	-
Talvitie J. Forward	1	2/3(67%)	-	-	-	-	2/3(67%)	13	1/1(100%)	-	-	-	-
Van Hooijdonk S. Forward	1	10/17(59%)	-	-	-	0.01	3/5(60%)	27	1/1(100%)	-	-	3	-
Ayew A. Midfielder	-	2/2(100%)	-	-	-	-	2/2(100%)	7	-	-	-	1	-
Bielica D. Goalkeeper	-	14/30(47%)	-	-	-	0.01	4/8(50%)	37	13/29(45%)	-	-	-	-
Cretazz G. Goalkeeper	-	26/48(54%)	-	-	-	-	2/6(33%)	53	7/29(24%)	-	-	-	-
Fonville D. Defender	-	12/19(63%)	-	-	-	0.01	5/7(71%)	29	-	-	1/2(50%)	-	-
Greiml L. Defender	-	20/21(95%)	-	-	-	0.01	2/3(67%)	36	4/4(100%)	-	-	-	-
Leemans C. Midfielder	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	-	-
Nejasmic D. Midfielder	-	12/12(100%)	-	-	-	0.01	1/1(100%)	17	3/3(100%)	-	-	-	-
Odoi D. Defender	-	20/26(77%)	-	-	-	0.01	2/5(40%)	48	1/5(20%)	-	1/3(33%)	-	-
Sandler P. Midfielder	-	38/48(79%)	-	-	-	-	1/5(20%)	59	3/7(43%)	-	-	1	-
Sowah K. Forward	-	25/32(78%)	-	-	-	0.06	3/6(50%)	48	2/3(67%)	1/3(33%)	-	3	-
Vura Forward	-	2/2(100%)	-	-	-	-	-	4	-	-	-	-	-

xA - measures the likelihood that a completed pass will become an assist for a goal. It evaluates the quality of the pass based on factors like its placement, trajectory, speed, the receiver’s position, defensive pressure, and the overall attacking context. Each key pass receives a value between 0 and 1; a player’s or team’s total xA is the sum of these values. Higher xA indicates better chance creation, even if the subsequent shot is missed or saved.

Defending

Player	Duels	Aerial duels	Ground duels	Foules	Tackles	Interceptions	Clearances	Error leading to goal	Error leading to shot	Own goals
Brym C. Forward	18	1/3(33%)	11/15(73%)	1	-	-	-	-	-	-
Lebreton N. Defender	17	1/7(14%)	6/10(60%)	1	2/3(67%)	1	2	-	-	-
Sano K. Midfielder	15	-	8/12(67%)	1	2/2(100%)	1	-	-	-	-
Balard M. Midfielder	14	2/4(50%)	6/10(60%)	2	3/6(50%)	-	4	-	-	-
Hillen R. Defender	13	5/6(83%)	5/7(71%)	2	3/3(100%)	-	9	-	-	-
Kaplan A. Defender	12	2/3(67%)	2/9(22%)	2	1/1(100%)	1	5	-	-	-
Onal B. Defender	12	1/4(25%)	2/8(25%)	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Van Hooijdonk S. Forward	12	4/6(67%)	3/6(50%)	1	-	-	-	-	-	-
Holtby L. Midfielder	10	-	2/8(25%)	3	-	-	1	-	-	-
Ogawa K. Forward	10	2/8(25%)	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Chery T. Midfielder	9	-	2/8(25%)	2	-	-	-	-	-	-
Dasa E. Defender	9	3/5(60%)	2/4(50%)	2	-	-	6	-	-	-
Proper D. Midfielder	9	4/4(100%)	1/5(20%)	1	-	2	-	-	-	-
Sandler P. Midfielder	9	1/3(33%)	2/6(33%)	3	-	1	3	-	-	-
Greiml L. Defender	8	6/7(86%)	1/1(100%)	-	1/1(100%)	1	10	-	-	-
Lucassen B. Defender	8	2/3(67%)	4/5(80%)	1	1/2(50%)	1	3	-	-	-
Odoi D. Defender	8	4/4(100%)	2/4(50%)	-	1/1(100%)	1	4	-	-	-
Sowah K. Forward	8	-	7/8(88%)	1	-	-	2	-	-	-
Ouaissa S. Midfielder	7	1/3(33%)	1/4(25%)	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Soumano M. Forward	7	2/4(50%)	3/3(100%)	-	1/1(100%)	-	-	-	-	-
Kemper B. Defender	6	3/4(75%)	1/2(50%)	1	1/1(100%)	-	7	-	-	-
Pereira B. Defender	6	-	1/3(33%)	1	-	-	-	-	-	-
Ayew A. Midfielder	5	-	1/3(33%)	1	-	-	-	-	-	-
Fonville D. Defender	5	-	3/5(60%)	1	1/2(50%)	-	2	-	-	-
Talvitie J. Forward	5	-	2/5(40%)	-	1/2(50%)	-	-	-	-	-
Leemans C. Midfielder	2	-	1/2(50%)	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Nejasmic D. Midfielder	2	1/1(100%)	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-
Vura Forward	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Bielica D. Goalkeeper	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cretazz G. Goalkeeper	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Goalkeeping

Player	Goals prevented	Goalkeeper saves	xGOT faced	Goals Conceded	Punches	Throws	Sweeper keeper actions
Cretazz G. Goalkeeper	-2.04	2	0.96	3	-	2	3
Bielica D. Goalkeeper	-2.08	4	1.92	4	-	3	-

Goals prevented - measures how many goals a goalkeeper saved compared to expectation. It is calculated as the difference between xGOT Faced (the total post-shot expected goals of all on-target shots faced) and the actual number of goals conceded (excluding own goals). A higher positive value indicates the goalkeeper performed above average, preventing more goals than expected from the quality of shots faced. A negative value means more goals were conceded than the shots "deserved.

xGOT faced - total number of goals a goalkeeper would be expected to concede based on the volume and quality of on-target shots faced. Each shot’s quality is assessed using post-shot factors: placement, goalkeeper positioning, shot speed, etc. xGOT Faced for a team equals the opposing team’s total xGOT from shots on target. It serves as the benchmark for calculating Goals Prevented.