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• League Two
• Swindon Town x Bristol Rovers

Swindon Town - Bristol Rovers 28.02.2026

• 28/02/26 07:30 |
  Round 35
• Swindon Town

  Palmer O. - 58'
  • 1 : 1
  • Finished
  Bristol Rovers

  Thompson-Sommers K. - 43'

Summary Lineups Player Statistics

SWI

Match details

BR

1st Half 0:1

32 Clarke O.

32 Balmer K.

43 Thompson-Sommers K.

2nd Half 1:0

58 Palmer O.

67 Cavegn F. Out: Harrison E.

67 Harrison E.

69 Kirkman B. Out: Wright W.

69 Olakigbe M. Out: Hoilett J.

69 Holman F. Out: Snowdon J.

83 Senior J.

89 Bodin B. Out: Batty J.

90 Smallwood R.

90 + 3 Thomas L. Out: De Havilland R.

SWI

Statistics

BR

1.74

Expected goals (xG) Expected goals xG - measures the quality of a scoring chance and the probability of it becoming a goal. It's calculated from factors like shot location, angle, distance, assist type, and defensive pressure. Each shot gets a value from 0 to 1; a team's total xG is the sum of all its shots. A penalty is usually worth ~0.79–0.80. Higher xG = better chances, regardless of whether goals were actually scored.

0.87

54 %

Ball possession

46 %

4

Big chances Big chances - counts clear scoring opportunities where a goal is highly expected. These are situations like one-on-one with the goalkeeper, close-range shots with little defensive pressure, or shots into an open goal.

2

• 1.9 1.3 1.7
• Goals scored per match
• 1.7 0.6 1.4

• 0.7 1.5 1.4
• Goals conceded per match
• 1.9 1.7 1.6

• 34.6' 32.1' 29'
• Minutes/Goal scored
• 25' 39.1' 30'

Full Stats

SWI

H2H Stats

BR

All tournaments League One League Two EFL Trophy 5 matches 10 matches 15 matches All matches 5 matches 10 matches All matches 5 matches All matches 5 matches

• 40% 2wins
• 40% 2draws
• 20% 1wins

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Top Scorers

Swindon Town

England League Two

#

Goals

• 23 Drinan A.
  21
• 28 Palmer O.
  8
• 8 Clarke O.
  6
• 24 Holman F.
  5
• 31 Bodin B.
  4

Bristol Rovers

England League Two

#

Goals

• 19 Harrison E.
  11
• 29 Cavegn F.
  10
• 27 Quigley J.
  6
• 10 Akhamrich Y.
  6
• 7 Forde S.
  4

Show full top scorers

Match facts

The most common result of matches between Swindon Town and Bristol Rovers when Swindon Town is playing at home is 2-1. 3 matches have ended with this result.

The most common result of matches between Swindon Town and Bristol Rovers is 1-0. 4 matches have ended with this result.

During the last 10 meetings with Swindon Town playing at home, Swindon Town have won 6 times, there have been 2 draws while Bristol Rovers have won 2 times. The goal difference is 14-10 in favour of Swindon Town.

During the last 23 meetings, Swindon Town have won 11 times, there have been 4 draws while Bristol Rovers have won 8 times. The goal difference is 30-28 in favour of Swindon Town.

Bristol Rovers's last away win against Swindon Town was in 2016.

In League Two, Swindon Town have 3 successive home wins.

Bristol Rovers have a losing streak of 3 matches in League Two.

In League Two, Bristol Rovers have lost their last 4 away matches.

Did you know that Swindon Town scores 23% of their goals between the minutes 76-90?

Did you know that Bristol Rovers scores 25% of their goals between the minutes 61-75?

Swindon Town have won 3 home matches in a row.

Bristol Rovers have lost 3 matches in a row.

Bristol Rovers have lost 4 away matches in a row.

When playing at home, Swindon Town have not lost to Bristol Rovers in their last 3 encounters.

Swindon Town haven't scored in 3 of their 17 home matches in League Two this season.

Bristol Rovers haven't scored in 6 of their 16 away matches in League Two this season.

Aaron John Drinan is Swindon Town's top scorer with 17 goals. Fabrizio Cavegn has scored 9 times for Bristol Rovers.

Thomas Andrew Nichols has more yellow cards (8) than any other player at Swindon Town. Jack Sparkes has collected 10 for Bristol Rovers.

A year ago, Swindon Town were number 15 in the table with 44 points. Now they are number 5 with 61 points.

Swindon Town have scored at least one goal for 11 consecutive matches.

Swindon Town wins 1st half in 28% of their matches, Bristol Rovers in 19% of their matches.

Swindon Town wins 28% of halftimes, Bristol Rovers wins 19%.

The winner of their last meeting was Swindon Town.

On their last meeting Swindon Town won by 3 goals.

When Swindon Town leads 1-0 at home, they win in 83% of their matches.

When Bristol Rovers leads 0-1 away, they win in 63% of their matches.

When Swindon Town is down 0-1 home, they win 38% of their matches.

When Bristol Rovers is down 1-0 away, they win 5% of their matches.

In League Two, Swindon Town has better performance than Bristol Rovers.

Swindon Town's performance of the last 5 matches is better than Bristol Rovers's.

Swindon Town have lost just 1 of their last 5 games against Bristol Rovers (in all competitions).

In the last 5 meetings Swindon Town won 3, Bristol Rovers won 1, 1 draws.

Swindon Town have lost just 0 of their last 5 League Two games against Bristol Rovers.

Bristol Rovers have won just 0 of their last 5 League Two games against Swindon Town.

Swindon Town scores 2.2 goals in a match against Bristol Rovers and Bristol Rovers scores 1 goals against Swindon Town (on average).

Average number of goals in meetings between Swindon Town and Bristol Rovers is 3.2.

Average number of goals in the first half in meetings between Swindon Town and Bristol Rovers is 2.

Swindon Town scores 1.86 goals when playing at home and Bristol Rovers scores 0.9 goals when playing away (on average).

More facts

Predictions

As part of the League Two (England) tournament, the match between teams Swindon Town and Bristol Rovers is scheduled. The game will start on 28.02 at 07:30. All sports bettors can follow in-depth Swindon Town Bristol Rovers betting tips using the subsequent analysis of teams' statistics and prediction for the match.

5 / 10 of last matches Swindon Town in all tournaments ended with her victory

5 / 10 of last matches Swindon Town in League Two ended with her victory

6 / 10 of last matches between the teams ended in victory Swindon Town

7 / 10 of her last matches Bristol Rovers in all competitions ended in defeat

6 / 10 of last matches Bristol Rovers in League Two ended in defeat

10 / 10 of last matches in all competitions Swindon Town did not draw

More predictions

SWI

Standings

BR

England League Two

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	G	GD	P
8	Barnet	46	21	13	12	70:53	17	76
9	Swindon Town	46	22	9	15	70:59	11	75
10	Oldham Athletic	46	18	14	14	60:44	16	68
13	Walsall	46	18	11	17	56:56	0	65
14	Bristol Rovers	46	19	5	22	56:65	-9	62
15	Fleetwood Town	46	15	16	15	57:58	-1	61

Full Standings

SWI

Starting

BR

Ripley C. Goalkeeper Knight-Lebel J. Defender Wright W. 69' Kirkman B. Batty J. 89' Bodin B. Kilkenny G. Midfielder Clarke O. Midfielder Borland A. Midfielder Hoilett J. 69' Olakigbe M. Snowdon J. 69' Holman F. Drinan A. Forward Palmer O. Forward

Young B. Goalkeeper Balmer K. Defender Senior J. Defender Kilgour A. Defender Thompson-Sommers K. Midfielder De Havilland R. 90' Thomas L. Smallwood R. Midfielder Mola C. Midfielder Akhamrich Y. Forward Harrison E. 67' Cavegn F. Quigley J. Forward

SWI

Substitutes

BR

Ward L. Goalkeeper Kirkman B. 69' Out: Wright W. McGregor J. Defender Olakigbe M. 69' Out: Hoilett J. Nichols T. Forward Holman F. 69' Out: Snowdon J. Bodin B. 89' Out: Batty J.

Southwood L. Goalkeeper Lockyer T. Defender Sparkes J. Defender Leigh T. Midfielder Cavegn F. 67' Out: Harrison E. Rijks M. Forward Thomas L. 90' Out: De Havilland R.

SWI

Head coach

BR

Holloway I. Coaches

Evans S. Coaches

Player Statistics

Overall Swindon Town Bristol Rovers

Overview

Shots

Attack

Defending

Goalkeeping

Overview

Player	Grade	Minutes played	Goals	xG	Assists	xA	Total shots	Passes	Yellow cards	Red cards
Young B. Goalkeeper	8.3	90	-	-	-	0.04	-	24/51(47%)	-	-
Smallwood R. Midfielder	8.1	90	-	0.2	-	0.04	2	21/27(78%)	1	-
Palmer O. Forward	7.7	90	1	0.62	-	0.05	4	11/24(46%)	-	-
Knight-Lebel J. Defender	7.5	90	-	0.1	-	-	1	13/20(65%)	-	-
Senior J. Defender	7.4	90	-	-	-	0.01	-	13/19(68%)	1	-
Thompson-Sommers K. Midfielder	7	90	1	0.03	-	0.1	1	16/20(80%)	-	-
Kilkenny G. Midfielder	6.8	90	-	0.01	-	0.01	1	32/43(74%)	-	-
Ripley C. Goalkeeper	6.8	90	-	-	-	0.01	-	22/31(71%)	-	-
Wright W. Defender	6.7	69	-	-	-	0.01	-	15/25(60%)	-	-
Drinan A. Forward	6.6	90	-	0.31	-	0.04	2	12/18(67%)	-	-
Harrison E. Forward	6.5	67	-	0.29	1	0.02	1	5/13(38%)	-	-
Kirkman B. Defender	6.5	21	-	-	-	-	-	4/7(57%)	-	-
Balmer K. Defender	6.4	90	-	0.02	-	0.01	1	20/28(71%)	1	-
Cavegn F. Forward	6.2	23	-	0.14	-	-	1	2/2(100%)	-	-
Kilgour A. Defender	6.2	90	-	-	-	0.01	-	15/26(58%)	-	-
Mola C. Midfielder	6.2	90	-	-	-	0.12	-	16/24(67%)	-	-
Snowdon J. Midfielder	6	69	-	0.04	-	-	1	9/21(43%)	-	-
Clarke O. Midfielder	5.6	90	-	0.08	-	0.01	3	14/22(64%)	1	-
Hoilett J. Midfielder	5.5	69	-	0.01	-	0.03	1	13/16(81%)	-	-
Bodin B. Forward	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Thomas L. Forward	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	2/3(67%)	-	-

xG - measures the quality of a scoring chance and the probability of it becoming a goal. It’s calculated from factors like shot location, angle, distance, assist type, and defensive pressure. Each shot gets a value from 0 to 1; a team’s total xG is the sum of all its shots. A penalty is usually worth ~0.79–0.80. Higher xG = better chances, regardless of whether goals were actually scored.

xA - measures the likelihood that a completed pass will become an assist for a goal. It evaluates the quality of the pass based on factors like its placement, trajectory, speed, the receiver’s position, defensive pressure, and the overall attacking context. Each key pass receives a value between 0 and 1; a player’s or team’s total xA is the sum of these values. Higher xA indicates better chance creation, even if the subsequent shot is missed or saved.

Shots

Player	Total shots	Shots on target	xGOT	Shots off target	Blocked shots	Shots header	Shots inside the Box	Shots outside the Box
Palmer O. Forward	4	3	1.6	1	1	1	3	1
Clarke O. Midfielder	3	1	0.02	1	1	-	1	2
Drinan A. Forward	2	1	0.24	1	-	1	2	-
Smallwood R. Midfielder	2	-	-	1	1	-	2	-
Balmer K. Defender	1	1	0.22	-	-	1	1	-
Cavegn F. Forward	1	-	-	1	-	-	1	-
Harrison E. Forward	1	-	-	1	-	1	1	-
Hoilett J. Midfielder	1	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
Kilkenny G. Midfielder	1	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
Knight-Lebel J. Defender	1	-	-	1	-	1	1	-
Snowdon J. Midfielder	1	-	-	1	-	-	1	-
Thompson-Sommers K. Midfielder	1	1	0.51	-	-	-	1	-
Bodin B. Forward	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Kilgour A. Defender	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Kirkman B. Defender	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Mola C. Midfielder	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Ripley C. Goalkeeper	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Senior J. Defender	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Thomas L. Forward	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Wright W. Defender	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Young B. Goalkeeper	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

xGOT - measures the likelihood that a shot on target results in a goal. Unlike xG (which evaluates the chance before the shot), xGOT assesses execution — shot placement, goalkeeper position, etc. — after the ball is struck. Only shots on target are included, each valued 0–1. A team’s total xGOT is the sum of all its on-target shots.

Attack

Player	Touches in the opposition Box	Passes	Big chances created	Big chances missed	Assists	xA	Passes in final third	Touches	Passes long	Crosses	Successful dribbles	Fouled	Offsides
Palmer O. Forward	9	11/24(46%)	1	1	-	0.05	5/12(42%)	42	1/2(50%)	-	-	-	-
Drinan A. Forward	5	12/18(67%)	-	1	-	0.04	6/11(55%)	30	-	-	1/2(50%)	1	2
Harrison E. Forward	4	5/13(38%)	-	1	1	0.02	3/10(30%)	30	1/1(100%)	-	-	4	-
Clarke O. Midfielder	2	14/22(64%)	-	-	-	0.01	4/6(67%)	47	3/7(43%)	-	-	2	-
Smallwood R. Midfielder	2	21/27(78%)	-	-	-	0.04	6/11(55%)	44	3/5(60%)	-	-	1	-
Snowdon J. Midfielder	2	9/21(43%)	-	-	-	-	1/8(13%)	46	-	-	-	2	-
Thompson-Sommers K. Midfielder	2	16/20(80%)	1	-	-	0.1	4/5(80%)	38	1/2(50%)	-	2/4(50%)	1	-
Balmer K. Defender	1	20/28(71%)	-	-	-	0.01	1/4(25%)	55	4/6(67%)	-	1/1(100%)	-	-
Bodin B. Forward	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	-	-
Cavegn F. Forward	1	2/2(100%)	-	1	-	-	-	8	-	-	-	-	-
Hoilett J. Midfielder	1	13/16(81%)	-	-	-	0.03	4/5(80%)	24	2/2(100%)	-	1/2(50%)	-	-
Kilgour A. Defender	1	15/26(58%)	-	-	-	0.01	3/10(30%)	41	1/7(14%)	-	-	1	-
Kilkenny G. Midfielder	1	32/43(74%)	-	-	-	0.01	5/12(42%)	56	-	-	-	-	-
Knight-Lebel J. Defender	1	13/20(65%)	-	-	-	-	-	38	1/3(33%)	-	-	-	1
Wright W. Defender	1	15/25(60%)	-	-	-	0.01	2/5(40%)	36	2/8(25%)	-	-	1	-
Kirkman B. Defender	-	4/7(57%)	-	-	-	-	1/3(33%)	18	-	-	-	-	-
Mola C. Midfielder	-	16/24(67%)	1	-	-	0.12	2/8(25%)	57	-	1/2(50%)	1/3(33%)	-	-
Ripley C. Goalkeeper	-	22/31(71%)	-	-	-	0.01	4/7(57%)	37	17/26(65%)	-	-	1	-
Senior J. Defender	-	13/19(68%)	-	-	-	0.01	4/5(80%)	37	3/7(43%)	-	-	1	-
Thomas L. Forward	-	2/3(67%)	-	-	-	-	1/1(100%)	3	1/1(100%)	-	-	-	-
Young B. Goalkeeper	-	24/51(47%)	-	-	-	0.04	10/25(40%)	65	19/46(41%)	-	-	1	-

xA - measures the likelihood that a completed pass will become an assist for a goal. It evaluates the quality of the pass based on factors like its placement, trajectory, speed, the receiver’s position, defensive pressure, and the overall attacking context. Each key pass receives a value between 0 and 1; a player’s or team’s total xA is the sum of these values. Higher xA indicates better chance creation, even if the subsequent shot is missed or saved.

Defending

Player	Duels	Aerial duels	Ground duels	Foules	Tackles	Interceptions	Clearances	Error leading to goal	Error leading to shot	Own goals
Harrison E. Forward	21	2/10(20%)	4/11(36%)	1	-	-	2	-	-	-
Palmer O. Forward	18	10/12(83%)	1/6(17%)	2	1/1(100%)	-	6	-	-	-
Clarke O. Midfielder	15	2/6(33%)	4/9(44%)	1	-	-	4	-	-	-
Smallwood R. Midfielder	14	4/4(100%)	9/10(90%)	1	4/8(50%)	1	3	-	-	-
Wright W. Defender	13	4/10(40%)	2/3(67%)	-	1/1(100%)	-	6	-	-	-
Hoilett J. Midfielder	10	-	2/7(29%)	3	1/1(100%)	1	-	-	-	-
Knight-Lebel J. Defender	10	6/7(86%)	2/3(67%)	-	1/2(50%)	2	8	-	-	-
Snowdon J. Midfielder	9	-	4/9(44%)	2	1/2(50%)	-	1	-	-	-
Kilkenny G. Midfielder	8	2/3(67%)	3/5(60%)	1	1/3(33%)	-	3	-	-	-
Thompson-Sommers K. Midfielder	8	-	3/8(38%)	1	-	1	1	-	-	-
Balmer K. Defender	7	2/4(50%)	1/3(33%)	-	-	-	6	-	-	-
Drinan A. Forward	6	1/3(50%)	2/3(67%)	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
Kilgour A. Defender	6	2/4(50%)	1/2(50%)	-	-	1	6	-	-	-
Mola C. Midfielder	6	1/4(25%)	1/2(50%)	1	-	1	10	-	-	-
Senior J. Defender	6	1/1(100%)	2/5(40%)	2	1/1(100%)	3	5	-	-	-
Cavegn F. Forward	5	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-
Kirkman B. Defender	4	1/1(100%)	3/3(100%)	-	2/3(67%)	1	5	-	-	-
Young B. Goalkeeper	2	-	1/2(50%)	-	-	-	3	-	-	-
Bodin B. Forward	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Ripley C. Goalkeeper	1	-	1/1(100%)	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
Thomas L. Forward	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Goalkeeping

Player	Goals prevented	Goalkeeper saves	xGOT faced	Goals Conceded	Punches	Throws	Sweeper keeper actions
Young B. Goalkeeper	0.87	5	1.87	1	1	3	4
Ripley C. Goalkeeper	-0.43	2	0.57	1	-	2	-

Goals prevented - measures how many goals a goalkeeper saved compared to expectation. It is calculated as the difference between xGOT Faced (the total post-shot expected goals of all on-target shots faced) and the actual number of goals conceded (excluding own goals). A higher positive value indicates the goalkeeper performed above average, preventing more goals than expected from the quality of shots faced. A negative value means more goals were conceded than the shots "deserved.

xGOT faced - total number of goals a goalkeeper would be expected to concede based on the volume and quality of on-target shots faced. Each shot’s quality is assessed using post-shot factors: placement, goalkeeper positioning, shot speed, etc. xGOT Faced for a team equals the opposing team’s total xGOT from shots on target. It serves as the benchmark for calculating Goals Prevented.