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Millwall vs Derby County prediction 10.03.2026

• 10/03/26 15:45 |
  Round 37
• Millwall

  Coburn J. - 43'
  • 1 : 0
  • Finished
  Derby County

Summary Who will win? Prematch stats Trends

Match preview

As part of the Championship (England) tournament, the match between teams Millwall and Derby County is scheduled. The game will start on 10.03 at 15:45. All sports bettors can follow in-depth Millwall Derby County betting tips using the subsequent analysis of teams' statistics and prediction for the match.

Match prediction

Game prediction - Millwall and Derby County
As you already have found out the complete review for this match, we have accurate Millwall vs Derby County predictions. Since the details matter, helmed by statistics and analysis, we can clearly admit that 1x2 - W1 will be the best bet option on this matchup.

10/03/2026

Millwall

15:45

Derby County

Bet:: 1x2 - W1

Odds: 1.97

Coefficients at the time of publication of the forecast 10.03.2026 19:40

H2H and previous results

Overall, teams have played 39 games with each other. The last teams' meeting was on 10.12.25, and the game ended with a 1:1. Millwall won in 15 matches, while Derby County managed to win in 11 meetings. Also, there were matches where teams played on an equal footing, so they have 13 games in a draw. So based on these data, teams have a difference of 45-40 goals.

MIL

H2H Stats

DER

All matches Last 5 matches Last 10 matches Last 15 matches

• 60% 3wins
• 40% 2draws
• 0wins

• 45
• Score
• 40

• 15
• Yellow cards
• 18

• 60% 3wins
• 40% 2draws
• 0wins

• 6
• Score
• 4

• 8
• Yellow cards
• 6

• 60% 3wins
• 40% 2draws
• 0wins

• 11
• Score
• 8

• 14
• Yellow cards
• 17

• 60% 3wins
• 40% 2draws
• 0wins

• 16
• Score
• 15

• 15
• Yellow cards
• 18

Millwall review

Millwall has played 10 times this Championship season. The club has 7 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draws, from which Millwall has 6 home victories. Such WDL statistics brought the team to 3 place in the standings. The average goals scored and conceded are 18 and 11, respectively, and their difference is +7. The average goal scored by teams when Millwall plays at home is 31. When Millwall hosted opponents at home stadium, the number of matches in which both teams scored was 6, or 60%. It takes Millwall an average of 31 minutes to score a goal at its home stadium.

Derby County review

Derby County played 10 games in this season's Championship tournament. The club won 5 meetings in away matches, and overall has won 6, lost 3 and drawn 1 times. The team has 18 scored and 13 conceded goals, so the goal difference is +5. Derby County is currently in the 7 position in the table. 29 goals are approximately scored by both teams in Derby County away matches. When Derby County played away, the number of matches in which both teams scored was 6, which is 60%. Derby County players need about 29 minutes of game time to score away.

MIL

Standings

DER

England Championship

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	G	GD	P	Form
3	Millwall	36	19	8	9	50:41	9	65
7	Derby County	36	15	9	12	54:47	7	54

Standings tracker

MIL

DER

3 Position 8

46 Round 46

Previous | Next round

Comparison stat

Statistics comparison of Millwall and Derby County
You can also follow other exciting information about Millwall and Derby County teams for the last 10 matches, such as the number of wins, draws, losses and statistics of goals scored and conceded.

MIL

Home Away Overall Home Away Overall

DER

10 Matches

6 - Wins

2 - Draws

2 - Losses

10 Matches

5 - Wins

2 - Draws

3 - Losses

10 Matches

7 - Wins

1 - Draws

2 - Losses

10 Matches

Wins - 4

Draws - 3

Losses - 3

10 Matches

Wins - 5

Draws - 1

Losses - 4

10 Matches

Wins - 6

Draws - 1

Losses - 3

Goal Difference

+7

18

11

+2

14

12

+13

21

8

scored

conceded

+2

14

12

+5

18

13

+7

19

12

• 1.8 1.4 2.1
• Goals scored per match
• 1.4 1.8 1.9

• 1.1 1.2 0.8
• Goals conceded per match
• 1.2 1.3 1.2

• 31' 34.6' 31'
• Minutes/Goal scored
• 34.6' 29' 29'

• 2.9 2.6 2.9
• Match goals average
• 2.6 3.1 3.1

• 29 26 29
• Goals
• 26 31 31

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All predictions

Who will win?

• Millwall
• Draw
• Derby County

Vote and compare your choice with other fans!

Will both teams score?

• Yes
• No

Vote and compare your choice with other fans!

Who will score first?

• Millwall
• No goal
• Derby County

Vote and compare your choice with other fans!

MIL

Prematch stats

DER

Home Away Overall Home Away Overall

10 Matches

6 - Wins

2 - Draws

2 - Losses

10 Matches

5 - Wins

2 - Draws

3 - Losses

10 Matches

7 - Wins

1 - Draws

2 - Losses

10 Matches

Wins - 4

Draws - 3

Losses - 3

10 Matches

Wins - 5

Draws - 1

Losses - 4

10 Matches

Wins - 6

Draws - 1

Losses - 3

Goal Difference

+7

18

11

+2

14

12

+13

21

8

scored

conceded

+2

14

12

+5

18

13

+7

19

12

• 1.8 1.4 2.1
• Goals scored per match
• 1.4 1.8 1.9

• 1.1 1.2 0.8
• Goals conceded per match
• 1.2 1.3 1.2

• 31' 34.6' 31'
• Minutes/Goal scored
• 34.6' 29' 29'

• 2.9 2.6 2.9
• Match goals average
• 2.6 3.1 3.1

• 29 26 29
• Goals
• 26 31 31

Scored Goals

Derby County is +8% Better in terms of Scored goals.

MIL

1.39 Goals / match

DER

1.5 Goals / match

Full time

1st Half / 2nd Half

Scored per game

MIL DER

Over 0.5

81%

92%

Over 1.5

42%

39%

Over 2.5

14%

14%

Over 3.5

3%

3%

Failed to score

19%

8%

Scored 1st/2nd Half

MIL DER

Scored in 1H

47%

53%

Scored in 2H

56%

61%

Scored in both halves

22%

22%

Scored average 1H

0.56

0.69

Scored average 2H

0.83

0.81

Statistics of Millwall matches and Derby County matches within the tournament Championship.

Conceded Goals

Millwall is +15% Better in terms of Conceded goals.

MIL

1.14 Conceded / match

DER

1.31 Conceded / match

Full time

1st Half / 2nd Half

Conceded / game

MIL DER

Over 0.5

61%

78%

Over 1.5

31%

31%

Over 2.5

17%

14%

Over 3.5

6%

6%

Clean sheets

39%

22%

Conceded 1st/2nd Half

MIL DER

1H Clean sheet

67%

56%

2H Clean sheet

56%

50%

Conceded Average 1H

0.42

0.58

Conceded Average 2H

0.72

0.72

Statistics of Millwall matches and Derby County matches within the tournament Championship.

Goals Handicap Stats

Full time 1st Half 2nd Half

Handicap

MIL DER

+2.5

89%

81%

+1.5

78%

86%

+0.5

75%

67%

-0.5

53%

42%

-1.5

22%

14%

-2.5

8%

6%

Handicap

MIL DER

+1.5

92%

97%

+0.5

83%

72%

-0.5

31%

36%

-1.5

8%

6%

Handicap

MIL DER

+1.5

86%

86%

+0.5

78%

72%

-0.5

36%

36%

-1.5

14%

11%

Goals by Time Period

Total Goals Scored Conceded

10 mins

MIL DER

0-10 mins

3%

9%

11-20 mins

12%

9%

21-30 mins

8%

7%

31-40 mins

5%

10%

41-50 mins

14%

12%

51-60 mins

9%

9%

61-70 mins

7%

11%

71-80 mins

10%

13%

81-90 mins

32%

20%

15 mins

MIL DER

0-15 mins

11%

12%

16-30 mins

13%

13%

31-45 mins

8%

13%

46-60 mins

21%

16%

61-75 mins

13%

16%

76-90 mins

34%

30%

10 mins

MIL DER

0-10 mins

2%

4%

11-20 mins

14%

15%

21-30 mins

8%

6%

31-40 mins

10%

9%

41-50 mins

8%

17%

51-60 mins

8%

13%

61-70 mins

6%

15%

71-80 mins

16%

9%

81-90 mins

28%

12%

15 mins

MIL DER

0-15 mins

10%

11%

16-30 mins

14%

13%

31-45 mins

12%

15%

46-60 mins

14%

24%

61-75 mins

20%

22%

76-90 mins

30%

15%

10 mins

MIL DER

0-10 mins

5%

17%

11-20 mins

15%

4%

21-30 mins

7%

9%

31-40 mins

0%

11%

41-50 mins

22%

6%

51-60 mins

12%

4%

61-70 mins

10%

9%

71-80 mins

2%

17%

81-90 mins

27%

23%

15 mins

MIL DER

0-15 mins

12%

17%

16-30 mins

15%

13%

31-45 mins

2%

13%

46-60 mins

32%

9%

61-75 mins

10%

15%

76-90 mins

29%

33%

WDL by First / Second Half

1H/2H WDL

MIL DER

Win % 1st Half

31%

36%

Win % 2nd Half

36%

36%

Draw % 1st Half

53%

36%

Draw % 2nd Half

42%

36%

Loss % 1st Half

16%

28%

Loss % 2nd Half

22%

28%

First Goal Scorer

MIL

53%

Scored first in 19/36 matches.

DER

53%

Scored first in 19/36 matches.

Yellow and Red Cards

4 Total Cards per match

MIL

2 Cards / match

DER

2 Cards / match

Total cards per match for Millwall and Derby County at the tournament Championship in 2025/2026 season

Total Cards Team Cards Cards Against Team

Total Cards

MIL DER Average

Over 1.5

86%

92%

89%

Over 2.5

81%

75%

78%

Over 3.5

56%

53%

54%

Over 4.5

42%

33%

37%

Over 5.5

17%

19%

18%

Over 6.5

3%

14%

8%

Over 7.5

3%

8%

5%

Team Cards

MIL DER Average

Over 0.5

89%

94%

91%

Over 1.5

58%

72%

65%

Over 2.5

31%

25%

28%

Over 3.5

17%

14%

15%

Over 4.5

3%

11%

7%

Cards Against Team

MIL DER Average

Over 0.5

83%

81%

82%

Over 1.5

58%

53%

55%

Over 2.5

28%

22%

25%

Over 3.5

8%

17%

12%

Over 4.5

6%

6%

6%

Trends

9 / 10 of last matches in all competitions Millwall did not draw

9 / 10 of last matches in Championship Millwall did not draw

7 / 10 of the last matches between the teams ended in a win

9 / 10 of last matches in all competitions Derby County did not draw

9 / 10 of last matches in Championship Derby County did not draw

5 / 10 of last matches Millwall in all competitions, at least one team did not score

5 / 10 of last matches Millwall in Championship, at least one team has not scored

5 / 10 of the last matches between the teams, at least one of the teams did not score

4 / 10 of last matches Derby County in all competitions, at least one team did not score

4 / 10 of last matches Derby County in Championship, at least one team has not scored

2 / 10 of her last matches Millwall in all competitions ended in defeat

2 / 10 of last matches Millwall in Championship ended in defeat

2 / 10 of the last matches between the teams ended in a victory Millwall

7 / 10 of last matches in all competitions Derby County did not lose

7 / 10 of last matches in Championship Derby County did not lose

5 / 10 of the last matches Millwall in all tournaments ended with its victory in the 2nd half

3 / 10 of the last matches between the teams ended with a victory Millwall in the 2nd half

2 / 10 of the last matches Derby County in all tournaments ended with a loss in the 2nd half

2 / 10 of the last matches Derby County in Championship ended with its defeat in the 2nd half

8 / 10 of last matches in all competitions Millwall did not lose

8 / 10 of last matches in Championship Millwall did not lose

5 / 10 of the last matches between the teams ended in a victory Derby County

10 / 10 of last matches Millwall in all competitions scored at least 1 goal

10 / 10 of last matches Millwall in Championship scored at least 1 goal

9 / 10 of the last matches between the teams there was at least 1 goal

9 / 10 of last matches Derby County in all competitions scored at least 1 goal

9 / 10 of last matches Derby County in Championship scored at least 1 goal

7 / 10 of last matches Millwall in all competitions had less than 3 goals

7 / 10 of last matches Millwall in Championship had less than 3 goals

8 / 10 of last matches Derby County in all competitions had less than 3 goals

8 / 10 of last matches Derby County in Championship had less than 3 goals

7 / 10 of last matches Millwall in all competitions scored at least 2 goals

7 / 10 of last matches Millwall in Championship scored at least 2 goals

2 / 10 of the last matches between the teams was at least 2 goals

6 / 10 of last matches Derby County in all competitions scored at least 2 goals

6 / 10 of last matches Derby County in Championship scored at least 2 goals

3 / 10 of last matches Millwall in all competitions had less than 2 goals

3 / 10 of last matches Millwall in Championship had less than 2 goals

8 / 10 of the last matches between the teams were less than 2 goals

4 / 10 of last matches Derby County in all competitions had less than 2 goals

4 / 10 of last matches Derby County in Championship had less than 2 goals

5 / 10 of last matches in all competitions Millwall played with a score of 0:0

5 / 10 of last matches in Championship Millwall played with a score of 0:0

5 / 10 of the last matches between the teams ended with a score of 0:0

4 / 10 of last matches in all competitions Derby County played with a score of 0:0

4 / 10 of last matches in Championship Derby County played with a score of 0:0

5 / 10 of last matches in all competitions Millwall played with a score of 0:0

5 / 10 of last matches in Championship Millwall played with a score of 0:0

5 / 10 of the last matches between the teams ended with a score of 0:0

4 / 10 of last matches in all competitions Derby County played with a score of 0:0

4 / 10 of last matches in Championship Derby County played with a score of 0:0

3 / 10 of the last matches Millwall in all tournaments ended with its victory in the 1st half

3 / 10 of the last matches Millwall in Championship ended with its victory in the 1st half

3 / 10 of the last matches between the teams ended with a victory Millwall in the 1st half

3 / 10 of the last matches Derby County in Championship ended with its defeat in the 1st half

2 / 10 of her last matches Millwall in all competitions ended in defeat

2 / 10 of last matches Millwall in Championship ended in defeat

6 / 10 of last matches Derby County in all tournaments ended with her victory

6 / 10 of last matches Derby County in Championship ended with her victory

2 / 10 of last matches between the teams ended in victory Derby County

1 / 10 of the last matches Millwall in all tournaments ended with a loss in the 2nd half

1 / 10 of the last matches Millwall in Championship ended with its defeat in the 2nd half

3 / 10 of the last matches Derby County in all tournaments ended with its victory in the 2nd half

3 / 10 of the last matches Derby County in Championship ended with its victory in the 2nd half

3 / 10 of the last matches between the teams ended with a victory Derby County in the 2nd half

3 / 10 of last matches Millwall in all competitions scored at least 3 goals

3 / 10 of last matches Millwall in Championship had at least 3 goals

2 / 10 of last matches Derby County in all competitions scored at least 3 goals

2 / 10 of last matches Derby County in Championship had at least 3 goals

1 / 10 of the last matches Millwall in Championship ended with its defeat in the 1st half

3 / 10 of the last matches Derby County in all tournaments ended with its victory in the 1st half

3 / 10 of the last matches Derby County in Championship ended with its victory in the 1st half

2 / 10 of the last matches between the teams ended with a victory Derby County in the 1st half

1 / 10 of last matches Millwall in all competitions ended in a draw

1 / 10 of last matches Millwall in Championship ended in a draw

3 / 10 of last matches between the teams ended in a draw

1 / 10 of last matches Derby County in all competitions ended in a draw

1 / 10 of last matches Derby County in Championship ended in a draw

3 / 10 of last matches between the teams ended in a draw

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