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• World Cup Qualification UEFA
• Italy x Estonia

Italy - Estonia 05.09.2025

• 05/09/25 14:45 |
  Round 5
• Italy

  Kean M. - 58'

  Retegui M. - 69', 89'

  Raspadori G. - 71'

  Bastoni A. - 90+2'
  • 5 : 0
  • Finished
  Estonia

Summary Lineups

ITA

Match details

EST

1st Half 0:0

31 Kristal P.

2nd Half 5:0

58 Kean M. Assist: Retegui M.

61 Ainsalu M. Out: Kristal P.

64 Bastoni A.

67 Raspadori G. Out: Zaccagni M.

67 Cambiaso A. Out: Dimarco F.

67 Saarma R. Out: Sinyavskiy V.

69 Retegui M. Assist: Raspadori G.

71 Raspadori G. Assist: Politano M.

76 Orsolini R. Out: Politano M.

76 Locatelli M. Out: Tonali S.

77 Paskotsi M.

80 Soomets M. Out: Shein R.

80 Tamm J. Out: Paskotsi M.

80 Anier H. Out: Sappinen R.

84 Esposito F. Out: Kean M.

89 Retegui M. Assist: Cambiaso A.

90 + 2 Bastoni A. Assist: Raspadori G.

90 + 5 Anier H.

ITA

Statistics

EST

4.39

Expected goals (xG) Expected goals xG - measures the quality of a scoring chance and the probability of it becoming a goal. It's calculated from factors like shot location, angle, distance, assist type, and defensive pressure. Each shot gets a value from 0 to 1; a team's total xG is the sum of all its shots. A penalty is usually worth ~0.79–0.80. Higher xG = better chances, regardless of whether goals were actually scored.

0.41

70 %

Ball possession

30 %

10

Big chances Big chances - counts clear scoring opportunities where a goal is highly expected. These are situations like one-on-one with the goalkeeper, close-range shots with little defensive pressure, or shots into an open goal.

1

• 2 1.8 1.9
• Goals scored per match
• 0.8 0.8 0.8

• 1.6 1.6 1.6
• Goals conceded per match
• 1.8 1.6 1.7

• 25' 26.5' 25.7'
• Minutes/Goal scored
• 34.6' 37.5' 36'

Full Stats

ITA

H2H Stats

EST

All tournaments UEFA EURO, Qualification World Cup Qualification UEFA International Friendly Games 5 matches All matches 5 matches 5 matches 5 matches

• 100% 5wins
• 0draws
• 0wins

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Top Scorers

Italy

Europe World Cup Qualification UEFA

#

Goals

• 20 Kean M.
  12
• 32 Retegui M.
  5
• 8 Tonali S.
  5
• 18 Raspadori G.
  3
• 94 Esposito F.
  3

Estonia

Europe World Cup Qualification UEFA

#

Goals

• 13 Kait M.
  3
• 15 Sappinen R.
  2
• 3 Paskotsi M.
  1
• 6 Peetson R.
  1
• 77 Saarma R.
  1

Show full top scorers

Match facts

During the last 5 meetings, Italy have won 5 times, there have been 0 draws while Estonia have won 0 times. The goal difference is 15-2 in favour of Italy.

Estonia haven't won any of their last 5 games against Italy.

When playing at home, Italy have not lost to Estonia in their last 3 encounters.

Estonia have conceded a goal in each of their last 5 matches.

Italy wins 1st half in 60% of their matches, Estonia in 20% of their matches.

Italy wins 60% of halftimes, Estonia wins 20%.

The winner of their last meeting was Italy.

On their last meeting Italy won by 4 goals.

When Italy leads 1-0 at home, they win in 50% of their matches.

When Estonia leads 0-1 away, they win in 50% of their matches.

When Italy is down 0-1 home, they win 0% of their matches.

When Estonia is down 1-0 away, they win 0% of their matches.

Italy's performance of the last 5 matches is better than Estonia's.

Italy have lost just 0 of their last 5 games against Estonia (in all competitions).

In the last 5 meetings Italy won 5, Estonia won 0, 0 draws.

Italy scores 3 goals in a match against Estonia and Estonia scores 0.4 goals against Italy (on average).

Average number of goals in meetings between Italy and Estonia is 3.4.

Italy scores 2 goals when playing at home and Estonia scores 0.8 goals when playing away (on average).

More facts

Predictions

As part of the World Cup Qualification UEFA (Europe) tournament, the match between teams Italy and Estonia is scheduled. The game will start on 05.09 at 14:45. All sports bettors can follow in-depth Italy Estonia betting tips using the subsequent analysis of teams' statistics and prediction for the match.

3 / 10 of her last matches Italy in all competitions ended in defeat

1 / 2 of last matches Italy in World Cup Qualification UEFA ended in defeat

2 / 10 of last matches Estonia in all tournaments ended with her victory

1 / 4 of last matches Estonia in World Cup Qualification UEFA ended with her victory

2 / 10 of the last matches Estonia in all tournaments ended with its victory in the 1st half

2 / 4 of the last matches Estonia in World Cup Qualification UEFA ended with its victory in the 1st half

More predictions

ITA

Standings

EST

Europe World Cup Qualification UEFA

#	Group A	GP	W	D	L	G	GD	P
1	Germany	6	5	0	1	16:3	13	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	0	2	6:8	-2	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	0	3	7:6	1	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	0	6	1:13	-12	0

#	Group B	GP	W	D	L	G	GD	P
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	12	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	1	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	-5	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	-8	2

Full Standings

ITA

Line Up

EST

4-4-2 4-2-3-1

Line Up

Starting

1 Donnarumma

22 Di Lorenzo 21 Bastoni 13 Calafiori 3 Dimarco

7 Politano 18 Barella 8 Tonali 20 Zaccagni

11 Kean 9 Retegui

1 Hein

18 Schjonning-Larsen 13 Paskotsi 2 Kuusk 3 Saliste

10 Palumets 5 Shein

14 Kristal 4 Kait 23 Sinyavskiy

15 Sappinen

ITA

Starting

EST

Donnarumma G. Goalkeeper Dimarco F. 67' Cambiaso A. Calafiori R. Defender Bastoni A. Defender Di Lorenzo G. Defender Tonali S. 76' Locatelli M. Barella N. Midfielder Politano M. 76' Orsolini R. Retegui M. Forward Kean M. 84' Esposito F. Zaccagni M. 67' Raspadori G.

Hein K. Goalkeeper Kuusk M. Defender Paskotsi M. 80' Tamm J. Schjonning-Larsen M. Defender Saliste J. Midfielder Shein R. 80' Soomets M. Palumets K. Midfielder Sinyavskiy V. 67' Saarma R. Kait M. Forward Kristal P. 61' Ainsalu M. Sappinen R. 80' Anier H.

ITA

Substitutes

EST

Meret A. Goalkeeper Vicario G. Goalkeeper Bellanova R. Defender Gatti F. Defender Cambiaso A. 67' Out: Dimarco F. Mancini G. Defender Locatelli M. 76' Out: Tonali S. Rovella N. Midfielder Frattesi D. Midfielder Raspadori G. 67' Out: Zaccagni M. Esposito F. 84' Out: Kean M. Orsolini R. 76' Out: Politano M.

Igonen M. Goalkeeper Andre Karl Vallner Goalkeeper Tammik T. Defender Peetson R. Defender Tamm J. 80' Out: Paskotsi M. Saarma R. 67' Out: Sinyavskiy V. Yakovlev I. Midfielder Ainsalu M. 61' Out: Kristal P. Miller M. Midfielder Soomets M. 80' Out: Shein R. Tur E. Midfielder Anier H. 80' Out: Sappinen R.

ITA

Head coach

EST

Gattuso G. Coaches

Henn J. Coaches